Tennis · M15 Hillcrest · 10/07, 10:00

Prediction: Kriish Tyagi vs James Beaven

Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Kriish Tyagi; the market gives 56% to Kriish Tyagi (odds 1.67).

Over their last 10 matches, Kriish Tyagi sits at 8-2 (W-L), while James Beaven arrives on a 6-4 run.

54%1
54% 46%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kriish Tyagi 1556 · James Beaven 1541
Kriish TyagiJames Beaven
Our model52%48%
Market56%44%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Kriish TyagiJames Beaven
Win %70%60%
Win % · Hard 70% (10) 67% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.71.2-0.9
Games (G-P)11.7-10.99.7-8
Aces3.92.2
Double faults32.3
1st serve %69%70.9%
Break %38.7%67.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kriish Tyagi

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/07 Chirag Duhan
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
08/07 Filippo Francesco Garbero
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 12-8 W
02/07 Alec Deckers
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
01/07 Reuben De Klerk
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 13-10 W
20/05 Hamish Stewart
Challenger Bengaluru · Hard
1-2 13-16 L
19/05 Kuan-Yi Lee
Challenger Bengaluru · Hard
2-0 14-12 W
15/05 Philip Sekulic
Challenger Bengaluru · Hard
0-2 2-12 L
14/05 Hamish Stewart
Challenger Bengaluru · Hard
2-1 18-17 W
13/05 Yuta Kawahashi
Challenger Bengaluru · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
12/05 Taiyo Yamanaka
Challenger Bengaluru · Hard
2-0 13-7 W

James Beaven

WLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/07 Kris Van Wyk
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
08/07 James Hart
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
06/07 Andreas Scott
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-1 13-11 W
02/07 Khololwam Montsi
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
01/07 Dylan Salton
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
10/06 Tom Zeuch
M15 Vaasa · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
31/05 Charles Broom
Challenger Birmingham · Grass
0-2 5-12 L
08/05 Romain Faucon
M15 Mbombela · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
07/05 James Weber
M15 Mbombela · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
05/05 Stefan Vujic
M15 Mbombela · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kriish Tyagi vs James Beaven?

Our model gives 54% to Kriish Tyagi, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.