Tennis · M25 Kassel · 09/07, 10:00
Prediction: Michael Agwi vs Anton Matusevich
Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 57% to Anton Matusevich; the market gives 71% to Anton Matusevich (odds 1.33).
Over their last 10 matches, Michael Agwi sits at 3-7 (W-L), while Anton Matusevich arrives on a 5-5 run.
65%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Michael Agwi 1429 · Anton Matusevich 1476
| Michael Agwi | Anton Matusevich | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Anton Matusevich (rating 1429 vs 1476).
- Note: Michael Agwi makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Michael Agwi | Anton Matusevich | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 40% |
| Win % · Grass | – | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.6 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.7-12.2 | 10.7-11.7 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 5.8 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 64.2% | 69.7% |
| Break % | 27.1% | 39.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Michael Agwi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Sydney Zick M25 Kassel |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 23/06 | Jannik Soetebier M15 Kamen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 24/03 | Sebastian Sorger M25 Saint Dizier · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/03 | Antoine Ghibaudo M25 Toulouse |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 17/03 | Richard Antoni M25 Toulouse |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/03 | Loann Massard M25 Creteil · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/02 | Vincent Reisach M15 Oberhaching · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/02 | Taym Alazmeh Davis Cup |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/02 | Hazem Naw Davis Cup |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/11 | Charles Broom ITF M25 Hradec Kralove |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Anton Matusevich
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Aryan Shah M25 Kassel |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 30/06 | Calvin Hemery Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Rei Sakamoto Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 15/06 | Arthur Gea Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Soonwoo Kwon Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/06 | Guy Den Ouden Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 07/06 | Mark Lajal Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 31/05 | Elias Ymer Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/05 | Hynek Barton Challenger Istanbul · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/05 | Kaan Isik Kosaner Challenger Istanbul · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Michael Agwi vs Anton Matusevich?
Our model gives 65% to Anton Matusevich, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.