Tennis · M15 Hillcrest · 09/07, 10:00
Prediction: Andreas Timini vs Alec Deckers
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 50% to Andreas Timini; the market gives 81% to Alec Deckers (odds 1.14).
On recent form, Andreas Timini is 3-7 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Alec Deckers 3-7 over theirs.
67%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andreas Timini 1497 · Alec Deckers 1495
| Andreas Timini | Alec Deckers | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Alec Deckers dominates on serve: 7.4 aces and 43.4% break avg.
- Note: Andreas Timini makes many double faults (6.9/match).
Statistics
| Andreas Timini | Alec Deckers | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 0.8-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.9-10.6 | 10.7-11.6 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 7.4 |
| Double faults | 6.9 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 58.8% | 72.9% |
| Break % | 44% | 43.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andreas Timini
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Simphiwe Ngwenya M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/07 | Henry Jefferson M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Devin Badenhorst M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Marko Maksimovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Stefano D'Agostino M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Vadym Ursu M15 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Essa Qabazard M15 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 11/11 | Felix Corwin M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 29/10 | Henrik Bladelius UTR Pro Clemson · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/10 | Andrew Hayduke II UTR Pro Clemson · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Alec Deckers
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Udit Kamboj M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/07 | Devin Badenhorst M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Kriish Tyagi M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Charlie Robertson M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 17/06 | Carl Emil Overbeck M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/06 | Bernard Tomic ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Justin Schlageter M25 Troisdorf · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 22/05 | Geoffrey Blancaneaux M25 Deauville · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/05 | Maxime Chazal M25 Deauville · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/04 | Benjamin Pietri M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andreas Timini vs Alec Deckers?
Our model gives 67% to Alec Deckers, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.