Tennis · M15 Hillcrest · 09/07, 10:00
Prediction: Chirag Duhan vs Kriish Tyagi
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Kriish Tyagi; the market gives 56% to Kriish Tyagi (odds 1.67).
Over their last 10 matches, Chirag Duhan sits at 3-7 (W-L), while Kriish Tyagi arrives on a 7-3 run.
55%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chirag Duhan 1501 · Kriish Tyagi 1530
| Chirag Duhan | Kriish Tyagi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Chirag Duhan dominates on serve: 6.2 aces and 52.7% break avg.
Statistics
| Chirag Duhan | Kriish Tyagi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-10.1 | 11.5-11.7 |
| Aces | 6.2 | 3.8 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 72.7% | 66% |
| Break % | 52.7% | 37.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chirag Duhan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Filip Peliwo M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 06/07 | Vasilios Caripi M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/06 | Ofek Shimanov M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Ludovico Vaccari M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 16/06 | Augusto Mateo Lucarelli M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/06 | Nazim Makhlouf M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Ty Wunderlich M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-9 | W |
| 26/03 | Leo Borg M15 Ahmedabad · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/03 | Abhinav Sanjeev Shanmugam M15 Ahmedabad · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/03 | Manish Sureshkumar M25 Mumbai · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Kriish Tyagi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Filippo Francesco Garbero M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/07 | Alec Deckers M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Reuben De Klerk M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/05 | Hamish Stewart Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 19/05 | Kuan-Yi Lee Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 15/05 | Philip Sekulic Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 14/05 | Hamish Stewart Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 13/05 | Yuta Kawahashi Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/05 | Taiyo Yamanaka Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/01 | Matthis Ross UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chirag Duhan vs Kriish Tyagi?
Our model gives 55% to Kriish Tyagi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.