Tennis · W15 Rio Claro · 08/07, 19:30

Prediction: Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez vs Carolina Xavier Laydner

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 60% to Carolina Xavier Laydner; the market gives 69% to Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez (odds 1.36).

Recent form leaves Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez with 3 wins and 7 losses over 10 games; Carolina Xavier Laydner has piled up 5-5 in the same span.

56%1
56% 44%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez 1456 · Carolina Xavier Laydner 1530
Jimar Geraldine Gerald GonzalezCarolina Xavier Laydner
Our model40%60%
Market69%31%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Carolina Xavier Laydner (rating 1456 vs 1530).
  • Carolina Xavier Laydner is in better form: 60% recent wins.

Statistics

Jimar Geraldine Gerald GonzalezCarolina Xavier Laydner
Win %30%60%
Win % · Clay 40% (5) 0% (1)
Sets (G-P)0.7-1.61.4-1.1
Games (G-P)10.1-1211.8-10.1
Aces1.40.2
Double faults3.11.8
1st serve %53.4%54.7%
Break %54.3%63.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez

WWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/06 Diana Marcinkevica
W35 Tauste · ~Clay
0-2 10-13 L
10/06 Briyana Ivanova
W15 Madrid
0-2 10-13 L
05/06 Neus Torner Sensano
W15 Ontinyent · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
04/06 Elena Molla Pons
W15 Ontinyent · ~Clay
2-1 17-11 W
03/06 Lucia Ros Parres
W15 Ontinyent · ~Clay
2-1 17-15 W
27/05 Sara Dols
W15 Oliva · ~Clay
0-2 6-13 L
06/05 Kylie Collins
W35 Boca Raton
0-2 6-13 L
05/05 Malwina Rowinska
W35 Boca Raton
2-0 13-8 W
28/04 Kailey Evans
W35 Boca Raton
1-2 10-10 L
26/03 Luciana Moyano
W15 Santiago
0-2 7-12 L

Carolina Xavier Laydner

WLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/07 Helena Bueno
W15 Rio Claro
2-0 13-7 W
06/07 Sofia Cohen Perovani
W15 Rio Claro
2-1 11-11 W
08/06 Maria Luisa Oliveira
W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay
1-2 8-9 L
03/06 Beatriz Guerra
W15 Brasilia
1-2 12-14 L
10/08 Esther Lovato
UTR Pro Denton Women · Hard
2-1 17-14 W
09/08 Saniya Singh
UTR Pro Denton Women · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
08/08 Susana Souhrada
UTR Pro Denton Women · Hard
0-2 7-13 L
08/08 Lexie Weir
UTR Pro Denton Women · Hard
2-1 16-10 W
08/08 Pia Petelinsek
UTR Pro Denton Women · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
30/07 Camila Romero
ITF W35 Pergamino
0-2 9-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez vs Carolina Xavier Laydner?

Our model gives 56% to Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.