Tennis · W15 Rio Claro · 08/07, 18:00
Prediction: Nicole Giannini vs Marjorie Souza
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 67% to Marjorie Souza; the market gives 87% to Marjorie Souza (odds 1.08).
On recent form, Nicole Giannini is 0-10 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Marjorie Souza 7-3 over theirs.
78%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nicole Giannini 1390 · Marjorie Souza 1515
| Nicole Giannini | Marjorie Souza | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 67% |
| Market | 13% | 87% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marjorie Souza (rating 1390 vs 1515).
- Marjorie Souza is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Nicole Giannini makes many double faults (5.3/match).
- Note: Marjorie Souza makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Nicole Giannini | Marjorie Souza | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 0% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (4) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.2-2 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 5.7-12.5 | 11-8.2 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 1 |
| Double faults | 5.3 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 48.6% | 65.8% |
| Break % | 46.7% | 52.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nicole Giannini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Allison Isaacs W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Prathyusha Rachapudi W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Kateryna Diatlova W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Duru Soke W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Vlada Mincheva W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/05 | Teodora Vlajic W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Aleksandra Khomitskaya W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Leonie Rabl W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 20/04 | Darya Volkova W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/04 | Nina Sozaonova W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Marjorie Souza
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Leyla Fiorella Britez Risso W15 Luque · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 16/06 | Ana Candiotto W15 Luque · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/06 | Luiza Fullana W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 10/06 | Jennifer Rosa Dourado W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/06 | Luiza Fullana W15 Brasilia |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/06 | Noelia Zeballos W15 Brasilia |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 05/06 | Maria Eduarda Carbone dos Santos W15 Brasilia |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/06 | Maria Jose Sanchez Uribe W15 Brasilia |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 03/06 | Daniela Teodoro Souza W15 Brasilia |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nicole Giannini vs Marjorie Souza?
Our model gives 78% to Marjorie Souza, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.