Tennis · M15 Monastir · 08/07, 10:30
Prediction: Mohamed Aziz Dougaz vs Sean Daryabeigi
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Sean Daryabeigi; the market gives 81% to Mohamed Aziz Dougaz (odds 1.14).
On recent form, Mohamed Aziz Dougaz is 5-5 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Sean Daryabeigi 7-3 over theirs.
66%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mohamed Aziz Dougaz 1577 · Sean Daryabeigi 1592
| Mohamed Aziz Dougaz | Sean Daryabeigi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Mohamed Aziz Dougaz dominates on serve: 7.8 aces and 44.3% break avg.
Statistics
| Mohamed Aziz Dougaz | Sean Daryabeigi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 86% (7) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.7-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-9.3 | 12.3-7.2 |
| Aces | 7.8 | 4.5 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 76.8% | 76.9% |
| Break % | 44.3% | 56.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Cesar Bouchelaghem M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 04/07 | Tuncay Duran M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 03/07 | Digvijay Pratap Singh M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/07 | Nicolas Robert M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/06 | Rei Sakamoto Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Clement Chidekh Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 13/06 | Raphael Collignon ATP Halle · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Rodrigo Fernandes M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 04/06 | Yassine Dlimi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 03/06 | Facundo Yunis M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Sean Daryabeigi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Andrea Paolini M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Karim Mabrouk M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Etienne Marty M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 12/10 | John Hallquist Lithen UTR Pro Clemson · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 10/10 | Massimo Pizzigoni UTR Pro Clemson · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 09/10 | Marko Mesarovic UTR Pro Clemson · Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Henrik Bladelius UTR Pro Clemson · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 06/10 | James Weber UTR Pro Clemson · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/07 | Thomas Nicholas Gadecki UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/07 | Ritesh Patil UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mohamed Aziz Dougaz vs Sean Daryabeigi?
Our model gives 66% to Mohamed Aziz Dougaz, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.