Tennis · W15 Monastir · 08/07, 10:30
Prediction: Severine Deppner vs Sana Garakani
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 59% to Severine Deppner; the market gives 71% to Severine Deppner (odds 1.33).
Over their last 10 matches, Severine Deppner sits at 4-6 (W-L), while Sana Garakani arrives on a 2-8 run.
66%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Severine Deppner 1484 · Sana Garakani 1421
| Severine Deppner | Sana Garakani | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Severine Deppner (rating 1484 vs 1421).
- Note: Sana Garakani makes many double faults (10.4/match).
Statistics
| Severine Deppner | Sana Garakani | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 20% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.2 | 0.5-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.2-9 | 6.5-11.2 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 10.4 |
| 1st serve % | 51.1% | 59.6% |
| Break % | 46.3% | 24.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
18.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Severine Deppner
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Nour Sahnoun W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/05 | Milena Ciocan W15 Reichstett · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 03/05 | Josephine Pasiut W15 Reichstett · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/01 | Sera Nishimoto W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 06/01 | Nour Sahnoun W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 12/10 | Kim Chiarello ITF W50 Cherbourg · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 29/09 | Carlotta Moccia ITF W35 Reims · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Khiara Noel ITF W35 Reims · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 01/09 | Seda Baslilar W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Emily Sartz-Lunde W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
Sana Garakani
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Carmen Gallardo Guevara W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/06 | Carolina Correia W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/06 | Valentina Ryser WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Meriem Ben Ezzedine Meriem W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Isabella De Micco Padula W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-10 | L |
| 28/05 | Mariia Lazarenko W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Meriem Ben Ezzedine Meriem W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 02/05 | Vanja Gudelj UTR Pro Carvoeiro Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/05 | Nikola Koprivova UTR Pro Carvoeiro Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Denise Valente UTR Pro Carvoeiro Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Severine Deppner vs Sana Garakani?
Our model gives 66% to Severine Deppner, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.