Tennis · M15 Hillcrest · 09/07, 10:00

Prediction: Khololwam Montsi vs Devin Badenhorst

Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 58% to Khololwam Montsi; the market gives 59% to Khololwam Montsi (odds 1.57).

Over their last 10 matches, Khololwam Montsi sits at 9-1 (W-L), while Devin Badenhorst arrives on a 8-2 run.

58%1
58% 42%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Khololwam Montsi 1623 · Devin Badenhorst 1570
Khololwam MontsiDevin Badenhorst
Our model58%42%
Market59%41%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Khololwam Montsi (rating 1623 vs 1570).
  • Devin Badenhorst dominates on serve: 8 aces and 52.3% break avg.
  • Head-to-head: Khololwam Montsi 2–0 Devin Badenhorst (2).
  • Note: Devin Badenhorst makes many double faults (5.5/match).

Statistics

Khololwam MontsiDevin Badenhorst
Win %90%70%
Win % · Hard 90% (10) 70% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.9-0.31.5-0.6
Games (G-P)12.8-7.812.2-9.5
Aces0.88
Double faults0.55.5
1st serve %68.8%75.5%
Break %46.7%52.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 21

H2H · Khololwam Montsi 20 Devin Badenhorst (2)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Khololwam Montsi 20 Devin Badenhorst

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DateSetsGamesRes.
05/07/26
M15 Hillcrest
2-013-9W
30/06/24
ITF M25 Hillcrest
2-012-6W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Khololwam Montsi

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/07 Pavlos Christoforakis
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
05/07 Devin Badenhorst
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
04/07 Henry Jefferson
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 14-12 W
03/07 Kris Van Wyk
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
02/07 James Beaven
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
30/06 Filip Peliwo
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
06/06 Alexander Donski
Challenger Centurion · Hard
1-2 13-16 L
05/06 Arda Azkara
Challenger Centurion · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
03/06 Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
Challenger Centurion · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
02/06 Calvin Hemery
Challenger Centurion · Hard
2-1 16-14 W

Devin Badenhorst

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/07 Tom Zeuch
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 14-11 W
05/07 Khololwam Montsi
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
04/07 Ofek Shimanov
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 14-11 W
03/07 Alec Deckers
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 13-6 W
02/07 Preston Brown
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
30/06 Andreas Timini
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
03/06 Eliakim Coulibaly
Challenger Centurion · Hard
1-2 12-18 L
02/06 Oscar Weightman
Challenger Centurion · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
27/05 Giles Hussey
Challenger Centurion · Hard
0-2 12-14 L
26/05 Akira Santillan
Challenger Centurion · Hard
2-0 12-4 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Khololwam Montsi vs Devin Badenhorst?

Our model gives 58% to Khololwam Montsi, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.