Tennis · M25 Kassel · 08/07, 10:00
Prediction: Ioannis Xilas vs Isac Stroemberg
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 63% to Isac Stroemberg; the market gives 84% to Ioannis Xilas (odds 1.11).
Recent form leaves Ioannis Xilas with 3 wins and 7 losses over 10 games; Isac Stroemberg has piled up 4-6 in the same span.
63%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ioannis Xilas 1420 · Isac Stroemberg 1514
| Ioannis Xilas | Isac Stroemberg | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Isac Stroemberg (rating 1420 vs 1514).
- Isac Stroemberg is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Isac Stroemberg makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Ioannis Xilas | Isac Stroemberg | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.6 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.9-12 | 11-10.3 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 5.8 |
| 1st serve % | 58% | 61.1% |
| Break % | 37.1% | 50.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ioannis Xilas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Manas Manoj Dhamne Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 08/06 | Liam Broady Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 31/05 | Manuel Mazza Challenger Perugia · Clay |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Cervia · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Manuel Mazza M25 Reggio Emilia · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Michael Geerts Challenger Abidjan · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/04 | Matthew William Donald M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 15/04 | Georgii Kravchenko M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Isac Stroemberg
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Ruben Hartig M25 Kassel |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/06 | Jan Sebesta M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Yannick Castelnuovo M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-1 | 9-9 | W |
| 10/06 | Raphael Vaksmann M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/06 | Cameron Price M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/12 | Vlado Jankanj UTR Pro Oxford · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/12 | Kai Milburn UTR Pro Oxford · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/12 | Matthieu Chambonniere UTR Pro Oxford · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/12 | James Quattro UTR Pro Oxford · Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 30/11 | Jon Gamble UTR Pro Oxford · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ioannis Xilas vs Isac Stroemberg?
Our model gives 63% to Ioannis Xilas, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.