Tennis · M15 Monastir · 08/07, 10:30
Prediction: Nazim Makhlouf vs Yassine Smiej
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Nazim Makhlouf; the market gives 58% to Nazim Makhlouf (odds 1.61).
Recent form leaves Nazim Makhlouf with 3 wins and 7 losses over 10 games; Yassine Smiej has piled up 5-5 in the same span.
55%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nazim Makhlouf 1482 · Yassine Smiej 1465
| Nazim Makhlouf | Yassine Smiej | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Yassine Smiej makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Nazim Makhlouf | Yassine Smiej | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.1-10.8 | 10.5-11.5 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 1 |
| Double faults | 2 | 5.2 |
| 1st serve % | 58% | 57% |
| Break % | 47.5% | 45.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nazim Makhlouf
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Toufik Sahtali M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Roger Pascual Ferra M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Dominick Mosejczuk M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 10/06 | Chirag Duhan M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/06 | Benjamin Willwerth M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 04/06 | Matthew Rankin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/06 | Michael Bassem Sobhy M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 28/05 | Toufik Sahtali M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 26/05 | Darsh Agarwal M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-1 | W |
| 22/05 | Nicolas Tepmahc M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Yassine Smiej
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Eero Vasa M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 25/06 | Reda Bennani M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Nathan Walters M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/05 | Gabriele Vulpitta M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Viktor Frydrych M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 20/05 | Leonardo Borrelli M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/05 | Tomas Rengel Sierra UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/05 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 14/05 | Timeo Bretin UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 13/05 | Lenny Galley UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nazim Makhlouf vs Yassine Smiej?
Our model gives 55% to Nazim Makhlouf, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.