Tennis · M15 Hillcrest · 08/07, 10:00
Prediction: Giulio Perego vs Kris Van Wyk
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Giulio Perego; the market gives 63% to Giulio Perego (odds 1.50).
Recent form leaves Giulio Perego with 3 wins and 7 losses over 10 games; Kris Van Wyk has piled up 3-7 in the same span.
57%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Giulio Perego 1466 · Kris Van Wyk 1459
| Giulio Perego | Kris Van Wyk | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Giulio Perego | Kris Van Wyk | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.4 | 0.7-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.5-11.9 | 8.3-11.2 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 60.6% | 63.7% |
| Break % | 43.5% | 45.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Giulio Perego
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Matteo Sciahbasi M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Alexandre Reco M15 Messina · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Massimo Giunta M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 03/05 | Alec Beckley M15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 02/05 | Tuncay Duran M15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
1-1 | 10-12 | L |
| 01/05 | Stefan Cooper M15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/05 | Stefan Seifert M15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 29/04 | Marc Van Der Merwe M15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 23/04 | Tuncay Duran M15 Pretoria · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Kris Van Wyk
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Khololwam Montsi M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Luc Koenig M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Gray Voelzke M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 01/06 | Tuncay Duran Challenger Centurion · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 31/05 | Simphiwe Ngwenya Challenger Centurion Qual · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/05 | Luc Koenig Challenger Centurion · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/04 | Amr Asrawy M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/04 | Karan Singh M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/04 | Grigory Shebekin M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 01/04 | Kerem Yilmaz M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Giulio Perego vs Kris Van Wyk?
Our model gives 57% to Giulio Perego, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.