Tennis · M15 Hillcrest · 08/07, 10:00
Prediction: Filip Peliwo vs Chirag Duhan
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 56% to Chirag Duhan; the market gives 72% to Filip Peliwo (odds 1.30).
Recent form leaves Filip Peliwo with 3 wins and 7 losses over 10 games; Chirag Duhan has piled up 4-6 in the same span.
60%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Filip Peliwo 1455 · Chirag Duhan 1495
| Filip Peliwo | Chirag Duhan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chirag Duhan (rating 1455 vs 1495).
Statistics
| Filip Peliwo | Chirag Duhan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (9) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.5 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-11.9 | 9.6-9.4 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 5.8 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 59.9% | 72.6% |
| Break % | 34.3% | 54.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Filip Peliwo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Khololwam Montsi M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Guillaume Dalmasso M15 Vaasa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/06 | Matt Ponchet M15 Vaasa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 10/06 | Kristjan Tamm M15 Vaasa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 02/06 | Eliakim Coulibaly Challenger Centurion · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Arda Azkara Challenger Centurion · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 26/04 | Kody Pearson Challenger Jiujiang · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/04 | Joshua Charlton M25 Luzhou · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/04 | Linang Xiao M25 Luzhou · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/04 | Colin Sinclair M25 Anning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Chirag Duhan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Vasilios Caripi M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/06 | Ofek Shimanov M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Ludovico Vaccari M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 16/06 | Augusto Mateo Lucarelli M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/06 | Nazim Makhlouf M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Ty Wunderlich M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-9 | W |
| 26/03 | Leo Borg M15 Ahmedabad · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/03 | Abhinav Sanjeev Shanmugam M15 Ahmedabad · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/03 | Manish Sureshkumar M25 Mumbai · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/03 | Sandesh Dattatray Kurale M25 Mumbai · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Filip Peliwo vs Chirag Duhan?
Our model gives 60% to Filip Peliwo, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.