Tennis · W15 Rio Claro · 07/07, 18:00
Prediction: Giovana Schincariol Delatorre Barbosa vs Ana Candiotto
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 60% to Ana Candiotto; the market gives 88% to Ana Candiotto (odds 1.06).
Recent form leaves Giovana Schincariol Delatorre Barbosa with 4 wins and 6 losses over 10 games; Ana Candiotto has piled up 7-3 in the same span.
76%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Giovana Schincariol Delatorre Barbosa 1503 · Ana Candiotto 1577
| Giovana Schincariol Delatorre Barbosa | Ana Candiotto | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ana Candiotto (rating 1503 vs 1577).
Statistics
| Giovana Schincariol Delatorre Barbosa | Ana Candiotto | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.1 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.1-9.5 | 10.3-8.9 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 48.3% | 64.4% |
| Break % | 56.5% | 44.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Giovana Schincariol Delatorre Barbosa
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Carolina Alves W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Maria Eduarda Carbone dos Santos W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 02/06 | Julia Konishi Camargo Silva W15 Brasilia |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/03 | Antonia Rivera W15 Santiago |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/03 | Gabriela Kawano Cho W15 Santiago |
2-1 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/03 | Maria Florencia Urrutia W15 Santiago |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/03 | Isidora Lisboa W15 Santiago |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 17/03 | Mayra Arce Gonzalez W15 Santiago |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 28/11 | Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele ITF W15 Ribeirao Preto · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 27/11 | Vlada Kozak ITF W15 Ribeirao Preto · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Ana Candiotto
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Luciana Moyano W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/06 | Leyla Fiorella Britez Risso W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/06 | Ana Carmen Zamburek W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Catalina Delmas Schaerer W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/06 | Julia Caffarena W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/06 | Marjorie Souza W15 Luque · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Gabriella Price W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Camila Romero W15 Brasilia |
0-2 | 6-11 | L |
| 04/06 | Leticia Garcia Vidal W15 Brasilia |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 03/06 | Vitoria Zuccon W15 Brasilia |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Giovana Schincariol Delatorre Barbosa vs Ana Candiotto?
Our model gives 76% to Ana Candiotto, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.