Tennis · W15 Rio Claro · 08/07, 15:00
Prediction: Rebeca Pereira vs Romina Ccuno
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 58% to Romina Ccuno; the market gives 79% to Romina Ccuno (odds 1.17).
Recent form leaves Rebeca Pereira with 5 wins and 5 losses over 10 games; Romina Ccuno has piled up 3-7 in the same span.
70%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rebeca Pereira 1435 · Romina Ccuno 1491
| Rebeca Pereira | Romina Ccuno | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Romina Ccuno (rating 1435 vs 1491).
Statistics
| Rebeca Pereira | Romina Ccuno | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 25% (8) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.6 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.6-12.2 | 10.3-12 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 52.5% | 55.5% |
| Break % | 43.9% | 44% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rebeca Pereira
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Martina Capurro Taborda W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Sofia Cohen Perovani W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 02/06 | Laura Badia W15 Brasilia |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 30/03 | Emily Zornada W35 Junin · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-11 | L |
| 24/03 | Jaedan Brown W35 Junin · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/03 | Emily Zornada W35 Junin · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/01 | Lilian Poling W35 Buenos Aires |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 26/11 | Ana Candiotto ITF W15 Ribeirao Preto · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 26/10 | Gergana Topalova WTA Cali · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/10 | Julia Konishi Camargo Silva WTA Rio De Janeiro · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Romina Ccuno
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Victoria Lopez Ocampos W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 19/06 | Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele W15 Luque · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 18/06 | Emily Zornada W15 Luque · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 17/06 | Julia Konishi Camargo Silva W15 Luque · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 28/04 | Sarah Ye W35 Boca Raton |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/04 | Jessica Hinojosa Gomez W15 Orlando · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 21/04 | Claudia Sofia Martinez Solis W15 Orlando · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/04 | Margaux Maquet W15 Orlando · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 24/03 | Saoirse Breen W15 Santiago |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rebeca Pereira vs Romina Ccuno?
Our model gives 70% to Romina Ccuno, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.