Tennis · W15 Rio Claro · 08/07, 15:00
Prediction: Julia Konishi Camargo Silva vs Jennifer Rosa Dourado
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 61% to Julia Konishi Camargo Silva; the market gives 88% to Julia Konishi Camargo Silva (odds 1.06).
Over their last 10 matches, Julia Konishi Camargo Silva sits at 6-4 (W-L), while Jennifer Rosa Dourado arrives on a 4-6 run.
76%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Julia Konishi Camargo Silva 1523 · Jennifer Rosa Dourado 1443
| Julia Konishi Camargo Silva | Jennifer Rosa Dourado | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Julia Konishi Camargo Silva (rating 1523 vs 1443).
- Julia Konishi Camargo Silva is in better form: 50% recent wins.
Statistics
| Julia Konishi Camargo Silva | Jennifer Rosa Dourado | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 0.6-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-8.8 | 5.8-11.2 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 63.2% | 49.1% |
| Break % | 61.8% | 23% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Julia Konishi Camargo Silva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Sofia Meabe W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 23/06 | Julieta Marcos Cattoni W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 17/06 | Romina Ccuno W15 Luque · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 11/06 | Noelia Zeballos W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 04/06 | Maria Eduarda Carbone dos Santos W15 Brasilia |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Giovana Schincariol Delatorre Barbosa W15 Brasilia |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/04 | Luisina Giovannini W35 Junin · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 31/03 | Wozuko Mdlulwa W35 Junin · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/03 | Marina Bulbarella W35 Junin · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Jennifer Rosa Dourado
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Antonia Rivera W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Maria Florencia Urrutia W15 Luque · ~Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Marjorie Souza W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Heydi Doldan W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/06 | Leticia Garcia Vidal W15 Brasilia |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/03 | Sofie Hettlerova W15 Santiago |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 19/03 | Ana Candiotto W15 Santiago |
1-2 | 7-15 | L |
| 17/03 | Fernanda Rain W15 Santiago |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/11 | Thaisa Grana Pedretti ITF W15 Mogi das Cruzes · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 13/11 | Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele ITF W15 Criciuma |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Julia Konishi Camargo Silva vs Jennifer Rosa Dourado?
Our model gives 76% to Julia Konishi Camargo Silva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.