Tennis · M15 Monastir · 07/07, 10:30

Prediction: Alaa Trifi vs Jonas Eriksson Ziverts

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Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Jonas Eriksson Ziverts; the market gives 50% to Jonas Eriksson Ziverts (odds 1.83).

Over their last 10 matches, Alaa Trifi sits at 5-5 (W-L), while Jonas Eriksson Ziverts arrives on a 6-4 run.

51%2
49% 51%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alaa Trifi 1502 · Jonas Eriksson Ziverts 1524
Alaa TrifiJonas Eriksson Ziverts
Our model47%53%
Market50%50%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Alaa Trifi makes many double faults (5.2/match).

Statistics

Alaa TrifiJonas Eriksson Ziverts
Win %50%60%
Win % · Hard 50% (10) 60% (10)
Sets (G-P)1-1.11.3-1.1
Games (G-P)9.5-10.212.1-10.8
Aces32.8
Double faults5.22.3
1st serve %61.8%65.7%
Break %49.3%64.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alaa Trifi

WLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/07 Toufik Sahtali
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 10-13 L
25/06 Alexander Frusina
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 13-16 L
24/06 Jackson Ross
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
07/05 Maxime Chazal
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
06/05 Mathieu Scaglia
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
02/05 Luca Wiedenmann
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
01/05 Samuele Seghetti
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-0 9-6 W
30/04 Gilberto Ravasio
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-8 W
29/04 Marcello Serafini
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 13-12 W
09/04 Alan Wazny
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 0-10 L

Jonas Eriksson Ziverts

LLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/06 Cesar Bouchelaghem
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
25/06 Nicolas Robert
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 13-8 W
24/06 Aziz Ouakaa
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 13-10 W
10/06 Iiro Vasa
M15 Vaasa · ~Hard
1-2 17-18 L
16/05 Seydina Andre
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 12-14 L
15/05 Giannicola Misasi
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 19-17 W
14/05 Izan Almazan Valiente
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 15-9 W
13/05 Matthew Carroll
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
07/05 Jacob Bradshaw
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
05/05 Daniel Domingos
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alaa Trifi vs Jonas Eriksson Ziverts?

Our model gives 51% to Jonas Eriksson Ziverts, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.