Tennis · M15 Monastir · 07/07, 10:30

Prediction: Peter Alam vs Benjamin Gusic Wan

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Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 58% to Peter Alam; the market gives 56% to Peter Alam (odds 1.67).

On recent form, Peter Alam is 5-5 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Benjamin Gusic Wan 3-7 over theirs.

57%1
57% 43%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Peter Alam 1493 · Benjamin Gusic Wan 1437
Peter AlamBenjamin Gusic Wan
Our model58%42%
Market56%44%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Peter Alam (rating 1493 vs 1437).
  • Note: Benjamin Gusic Wan makes many double faults (6.2/match).

Statistics

Peter AlamBenjamin Gusic Wan
Win %50%30%
Win % · Hard 50% (2) 30% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.20.6-1.4
Games (G-P)9.3-11.16.1-10.8
Aces4.20.5
Double faults3.86.2
1st serve %72%47.3%
Break %28.4%64.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Peter Alam

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/05 Tito Chavez
M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
26/05 Benedikt Szerencsits
M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay
2-1 12-11 W
07/05 Leonardo Rossi
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
1-2 11-17 L
06/05 Charles Chen
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-0 13-7 W
05/05 Yassin Ahmed Wageh
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-1 10-10 W
30/04 Viktor Frydrych
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-1 3-6 L
29/04 David Eichenseher
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
24/03 Daniil Sarksian
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-1 11-12 W
01/03 Paul Theate
M15 Poitiers · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
18/02 Alex Knaff
M15 The Hague
1-2 11-16 L

Benjamin Gusic Wan

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/07 Aziz Ouakaa
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
30/06 Ibrahim Snoussi
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
24/06 Andrea Colombo
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
01/04 Mert Alkaya
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 1-12 L
19/03 Alaa Trifi
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
11/03 Amir Omarkhanov
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 1-12 L
28/02 Julio Cesar Porras
UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
27/02 Ondrej Hujo
UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard
2-0 14-11 W
26/02 Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas
UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
25/02 Pavel Lagutin
UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard
0-2 4-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Peter Alam vs Benjamin Gusic Wan?

Our model gives 57% to Peter Alam, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.