Tennis · W15 Monastir · 08/07, 10:30
Prediction: Sara Milanese vs Yasmin Ezzat
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Yasmin Ezzat; the market gives 63% to Yasmin Ezzat (odds 1.50).
Recent form leaves Sara Milanese with 5 wins and 5 losses over 10 games; Yasmin Ezzat has piled up 4-6 in the same span.
57%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sara Milanese 1526 · Yasmin Ezzat 1534
| Sara Milanese | Yasmin Ezzat | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Sara Milanese | Yasmin Ezzat | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-8.9 | 10.6-9.8 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 63% | 64.8% |
| Break % | 58.6% | 47.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sara Milanese
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06 | Polina Iatcenko W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Lamis Alhussein Abdel Aziz W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 10/06 | Aya El Sayed W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 08/06 | Agata Prepslova W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-0 | W |
| 31/05 | Alena Kovackova W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Vlada Mincheva W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Hala Fouad W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/05 | Anna Hsu W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-0 | 6-1 | W |
| 06/05 | Tatiana Pieri W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Cindy Langlais W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
Yasmin Ezzat
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Eliz Maloney W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Eva Shaw W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/07 | Martyna Zaremba W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/07 | Serena Paris W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 23/04 | Stephanie Judith Visscher W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/04 | Amelie Justine Hejtmanek W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/04 | Anna Snigireva W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 07/04 | Isabella Kruger Billie Jean King Cup |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/04 | Ana Mitevska Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/03 | Victoria Milovanova W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sara Milanese vs Yasmin Ezzat?
Our model gives 57% to Yasmin Ezzat, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.