Tennis · W15 Monastir · 07/07, 13:30
Prediction: Eliz Maloney vs Margaux Komano
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 62% to Eliz Maloney; the market gives 88% to Eliz Maloney (odds 1.07).
Over their last 10 matches, Eliz Maloney sits at 8-2 (W-L), while Margaux Komano arrives on a 2-8 run.
76%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Eliz Maloney 1571 · Margaux Komano 1486
| Eliz Maloney | Margaux Komano | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Eliz Maloney (rating 1571 vs 1486).
- Eliz Maloney is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Eliz Maloney 1–0 Margaux Komano (1).
- Note: Eliz Maloney makes many double faults (4.1/match).
- Note: Margaux Komano makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Eliz Maloney | Margaux Komano | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (5) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-7.6 | 8.3-10.4 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 69.7% | 52.9% |
| Break % | 53.5% | 51% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
H2H · Eliz Maloney 1 – 0 Margaux Komano (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Eliz Maloney 1–0 Margaux Komano
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/12/21 W15 Monastir | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Eliz Maloney
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Emily Sartz-Lunde W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 04/07 | Yasmin Ezzat W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/07 | Esther Adeshina W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/07 | Chahd Tourkhani W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/07 | Hania Abouelsaad W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 08/05 | Emily Appleton W35 Nottingham |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 07/05 | Vaishnavi Adkar W35 Nottingham |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 06/05 | Mia Wainwright W35 Nottingham |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/05 | Zainab Williams W35 Nottingham Qual |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/05 | Olivia Gram W35 Nottingham Qual |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Margaux Komano
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Emily Sartz-Lunde W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Benedetta Ortenzi W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Karla Bartel W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 11/06 | Alice Battesti W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-11 | L |
| 10/06 | Chloe Noel W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/06 | Maria Oliver Sanchez W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Emma Mazzoni W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 27/05 | Maria Oliver Sanchez W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 29/04 | Anja Wildgruber W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-10 | L |
| 15/04 | Alba Rey Garcia W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Eliz Maloney vs Margaux Komano?
Our model gives 76% to Eliz Maloney, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.