Tennis · W15 Rio Claro · 07/07, 15:00
Prediction: Helena Bueno vs Carolina Xavier Laydner
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 65% to Carolina Xavier Laydner; the market gives 83% to Carolina Xavier Laydner (odds 1.13).
Over their last 10 matches, Helena Bueno sits at 3-7 (W-L), while Carolina Xavier Laydner arrives on a 4-6 run.
75%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Helena Bueno 1417 · Carolina Xavier Laydner 1523
| Helena Bueno | Carolina Xavier Laydner | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 17% | 83% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Carolina Xavier Laydner (rating 1417 vs 1523).
- Carolina Xavier Laydner is in better form: 50% recent wins.
Statistics
| Helena Bueno | Carolina Xavier Laydner | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (4) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.5-1.6 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 6.6-10 | 11.5-10.5 |
| Aces | 1 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 53.8% | 54.8% |
| Break % | 40.1% | 59.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Helena Bueno
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Catalina Delmas Schaerer W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Tiziana Rossini W15 Luque · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/12 | Nellie Taraba Wallberg W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 19/11 | Isabella Wong W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/11 | Inka Wawrzkiewicz W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/11 | Sonia Cassani W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-10 | L |
| 11/09 | Marian Gomez Pezuela Cano ITF W15 Sao Luis |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Isabela De Mattos Silva ITF W15 Sao Luis |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/09 | Ana Candiotto W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Beatriz Dias W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Carolina Xavier Laydner
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Sofia Cohen Perovani W15 Rio Claro |
2-1 | 11-11 | W |
| 08/06 | Maria Luisa Oliveira W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-9 | L |
| 03/06 | Beatriz Guerra W15 Brasilia |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 10/08 | Esther Lovato UTR Pro Denton Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 09/08 | Saniya Singh UTR Pro Denton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/08 | Susana Souhrada UTR Pro Denton Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/08 | Lexie Weir UTR Pro Denton Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 08/08 | Pia Petelinsek UTR Pro Denton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/07 | Camila Romero ITF W35 Pergamino |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Katja Markus ITF W35 Pergamino |
1-1 | 10-11 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Helena Bueno vs Carolina Xavier Laydner?
Our model gives 75% to Carolina Xavier Laydner, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.