Prediction: Catarina M I Melleiro Junior vs Chiara Di Genova
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 55% to Chiara Di Genova; the market gives 77% to Chiara Di Genova (odds 1.22).
Recent form leaves Catarina M I Melleiro Junior with 5 wins and 5 losses over 10 games; Chiara Di Genova has piled up 6-4 in the same span.
| Catarina M I Melleiro Junior | Chiara Di Genova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 23% | 77% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Catarina M I Melleiro Junior 0–1 Chiara Di Genova (1).
Statistics
| Catarina M I Melleiro Junior | Chiara Di Genova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (6) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.4 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-11.3 | 9.2-7.8 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 52.9% | 58.7% |
| Break % | 70.1% | 65.3% |
H2H · Catarina M I Melleiro Junior 0 – 1 Chiara Di Genova (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Catarina M I Melleiro Junior 0–1 Chiara Di Genova
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10/22 ITF W25 Tucuman | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Catarina M I Melleiro Junior
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Vitoria Rabelo Redin W15 Rio Claro |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/06 | Sofia Meabe W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 16/06 | Isabella Barrera Aguirre W15 Luque · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Lara Quaglia W15 Luque · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/06 | Gabriella Price W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Marian Gomez Pezuela Cano W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 08/06 | Beatriz Guerra W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-1 | 11-8 | W |
| 03/06 | Bianca M B Bia Bernardes W15 Brasilia |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 24/03 | Camila Rodero W15 Santiago |
1-2 | 7-15 | L |
| 18/03 | Leticia Garcia Vidal W15 Santiago |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
Chiara Di Genova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Mariana De Jesus Ribeiro Silveira W15 Rio Claro |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/06 | Antonia Rivera W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Valentina Mediorreal Arias W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/06 | Natalia Trigosso W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-1 | 10-6 | W |
| 17/06 | Emily Zornada W15 Luque · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Natalia Trigosso W15 Luque · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 11/06 | Luiza Fullana W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Mariana Soares W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/06 | Maria Camila Torres Murcia W15 Brasilia |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Sofia Carez W15 Brasilia |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Catarina M I Melleiro Junior vs Chiara Di Genova?
Our model gives 67% to Chiara Di Genova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.