Tennis · M15 Monastir · 07/07, 12:00
Prediction: Andrea Paolini vs Sean Daryabeigi
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 60% to Sean Daryabeigi; the market gives 78% to Sean Daryabeigi (odds 1.20).
Over their last 10 matches, Andrea Paolini sits at 5-5 (W-L), while Sean Daryabeigi arrives on a 7-3 run.
70%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andrea Paolini 1510 · Sean Daryabeigi 1580
| Andrea Paolini | Sean Daryabeigi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sean Daryabeigi (rating 1510 vs 1580).
- Sean Daryabeigi is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Andrea Paolini | Sean Daryabeigi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.7-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-9.8 | 12.3-7.2 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 4.5 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 64.9% | 76.2% |
| Break % | 50.1% | 58.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andrea Paolini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Alexander Frusina M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Lukas Pokorny M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 30/06 | Photos Photiades M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Dominick Mosejczuk M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Gabriel Sardo M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/05 | Lilian Marmousez Challenger Francavilla · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/02 | Cezar Cretu M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/02 | Alexander Orlov M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 17/02 | Sena Okabe M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
2-1 | 9-9 | W |
| 25/11 | Nicolas Philibert M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-10 | L |
Sean Daryabeigi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Karim Mabrouk M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Etienne Marty M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 12/10 | John Hallquist Lithen UTR Pro Clemson · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 10/10 | Massimo Pizzigoni UTR Pro Clemson · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 09/10 | Marko Mesarovic UTR Pro Clemson · Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Henrik Bladelius UTR Pro Clemson · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 06/10 | James Weber UTR Pro Clemson · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/07 | Thomas Nicholas Gadecki UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/07 | Ritesh Patil UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/07 | Joshua Mandelbaum UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andrea Paolini vs Sean Daryabeigi?
Our model gives 70% to Sean Daryabeigi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.