Tennis · M15 Monastir · 07/07, 10:30
Prediction: Ruslan Serazhetdinov vs Logan Zapp
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 67% to Logan Zapp; the market gives 83% to Logan Zapp (odds 1.13).
On recent form, Ruslan Serazhetdinov is 3-7 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Logan Zapp 5-5 over theirs.
76%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ruslan Serazhetdinov 1440 · Logan Zapp 1561
| Ruslan Serazhetdinov | Logan Zapp | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 67% |
| Market | 17% | 83% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Logan Zapp (rating 1440 vs 1561).
- Logan Zapp is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Ruslan Serazhetdinov | Logan Zapp | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (8) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.5 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.1-10.5 | 11.5-9 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 2 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 59.9% | 65.3% |
| Break % | 35.3% | 51.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ruslan Serazhetdinov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Rethin Pranav Senthil Kumar M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/03 | Maxim Zhukov M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/03 | Louis Larue M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/03 | Thantub Suksumrarn M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 19/01 | Florent Lagarrigue M15 Bagnoles de l'Orne · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-11 | L |
| 18/01 | Alex Blanchar M15 Bagnoles de l'Orne · ~Clay |
2-1 | 10-10 | W |
| 12/01 | Yannick Baluska M15 Bressuire · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-11 | L |
| 24/11 | Matic Dimic ITF M25 Luanda · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/11 | Oges Theyjo Jaya Prakash ITF M25 Luanda Qual · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/11 | Kai Wehnelt ITF M25 Luanda · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Logan Zapp
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Roger Pascual Ferra M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Rayen Hermassi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 23/06 | Alexis Berquier M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/06 | Ludovico Vaccari M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-1 | 11-8 | W |
| 17/01 | Roan Jones UTR Pro Chapel Hill · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/01 | Constantinos Djakouris UTR Pro Chapel Hill · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/01 | Blake Hilsen UTR Pro Chapel Hill · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/01 | Justas Trainauskas UTR Pro Chapel Hill · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/01 | Tommy Edwards UTR Pro Chapel Hill · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 31/12 | Aditya Govila UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ruslan Serazhetdinov vs Logan Zapp?
Our model gives 76% to Logan Zapp, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.