Tennis · M15 Monastir · 07/07, 10:30
Prediction: Andrea Bacaloni vs Togan Tokac
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 59% to Togan Tokac; the market gives 65% to Togan Tokac (odds 1.44).
On recent form, Andrea Bacaloni is 6-4 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Togan Tokac 7-3 over theirs.
62%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andrea Bacaloni 1499 · Togan Tokac 1560
| Andrea Bacaloni | Togan Tokac | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Togan Tokac (rating 1499 vs 1560).
Statistics
| Andrea Bacaloni | Togan Tokac | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.5-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.1-8 | 11.1-6.7 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 65.5% | 70.5% |
| Break % | 48% | 40.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
18.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andrea Bacaloni
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Cesar Bouchelaghem M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Louay Makke M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/06 | Josh Manuel M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/06 | Filip Poklemba M15 Szentendre · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 30/03 | Noah Perfetti M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-12 | L |
| 18/03 | Leonardo Primucci M15 Foggia · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/03 | Cristian Campese M15 Foggia · ~Clay |
2-1 | 11-7 | W |
| 10/03 | Lars Goran Verwerft M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/03 | Milos Karol M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/03 | Amine Jamji M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Togan Tokac
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Tomas Pinho UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 31/10 | Gordon Gallagher UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/10 | Ethan Silva UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/10 | Khololwam Montsi UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 28/10 | Francisco Salmain UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/08 | Quintan Vanwijk UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Blake Anderson UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/08 | Christopher Bulus UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 31/07 | Brody Nejedly-Krall UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Lathan Skrobarcek UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andrea Bacaloni vs Togan Tokac?
Our model gives 62% to Togan Tokac, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.