Tennis · M15 Hillcrest · 07/07, 11:00
Prediction: Devin Badenhorst vs Tom Zeuch
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 56% to Devin Badenhorst; the market gives 78% to Devin Badenhorst (odds 1.20).
Over their last 10 matches, Devin Badenhorst sits at 7-3 (W-L), while Tom Zeuch arrives on a 6-4 run.
68%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Devin Badenhorst 1539 · Tom Zeuch 1498
| Devin Badenhorst | Tom Zeuch | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Devin Badenhorst (rating 1539 vs 1498).
- Devin Badenhorst dominates on serve: 6.5 aces and 64.8% break avg.
- Note: Devin Badenhorst makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Devin Badenhorst | Tom Zeuch | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.8 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-9.6 | 10.9-11.9 |
| Aces | 6.5 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 71.2% | 70.5% |
| Break % | 64.8% | 33.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Devin Badenhorst
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Khololwam Montsi M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/07 | Ofek Shimanov M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 03/07 | Alec Deckers M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Preston Brown M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/06 | Andreas Timini M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/06 | Eliakim Coulibaly Challenger Centurion · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 02/06 | Oscar Weightman Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/05 | Giles Hussey Challenger Centurion · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 26/05 | Akira Santillan Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/09 | Louis Bowden UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Tom Zeuch
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Marvin Moeller M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 25/06 | Max Wiskandt M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 23/06 | Rodrigo Alujas M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/06 | Markus Malaszszak M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Guillaume Dalmasso M15 Vaasa · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 10/06 | James Beaven M15 Vaasa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/05 | Viktor Durasovic M25 Troisdorf · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Philipp Bosse M25 Troisdorf · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/05 | Sebastian Gima M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 08/05 | Alec Beckley M15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Devin Badenhorst vs Tom Zeuch?
Our model gives 68% to Devin Badenhorst, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.