Tennis · M15 Hillcrest · 07/07, 09:30
Prediction: Romain Faucon vs Zsombor Velcz
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Zsombor Velcz; the market gives 58% to Romain Faucon (odds 1.61).
Over their last 10 matches, Romain Faucon sits at 5-5 (W-L), while Zsombor Velcz arrives on a 7-3 run.
54%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Romain Faucon 1501 · Zsombor Velcz 1512
| Romain Faucon | Zsombor Velcz | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Romain Faucon makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Romain Faucon | Zsombor Velcz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.3 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-11.4 | 10.3-9.3 |
| Aces | 3.7 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 5.3 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 70.6% | 70.3% |
| Break % | 42.4% | 40.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Romain Faucon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Ty Host M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 22/06 | Nikita Belozertsev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 21/06 | William Rejchtman Vinciguerra Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 05/06 | Mert Naci Turker M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-11 | L |
| 04/06 | Melih Anavatan M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/06 | Alan Sau Franco M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-6 | W |
| 30/05 | Patrick Schoen M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 30/05 | Lars Goran Verwerft M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 27/05 | Melios Efstathiou M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 25/05 | Patrick Schoen M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Zsombor Velcz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Henry Jefferson M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Maximus Dussault M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-10 | L |
| 11/06 | Ozan Baris M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Dan Martin M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/06 | Ilija Palavestra M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/11 | Aidan Mchugh ITF M25 Harlingen · Hard |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 31/10 | Gabi Adrian Boitan ITF M25 Harlingen · Hard |
1-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 30/10 | Oskar Grzegorzewski ITF M25 Harlingen · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/10 | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes ITF M25 Harlingen · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 28/10 | Sydney Zick ITF M25 Harlingen · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Romain Faucon vs Zsombor Velcz?
Our model gives 54% to Romain Faucon, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.