Tennis · M25 Kassel · 07/07, 10:00
Prediction: Matteo Fondriest vs Dennis Andre Dutine
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Matteo Fondriest; the market gives 66% to Matteo Fondriest (odds 1.40).
Recent form leaves Matteo Fondriest with 4 wins and 6 losses over 10 games; Dennis Andre Dutine has piled up 3-7 in the same span.
60%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matteo Fondriest 1449 · Dennis Andre Dutine 1437
| Matteo Fondriest | Dennis Andre Dutine | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Matteo Fondriest makes many double faults (4.1/match).
- Note: Dennis Andre Dutine makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Matteo Fondriest | Dennis Andre Dutine | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (8) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.5 | 0.7-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.5-11.1 | 8.5-11.4 |
| Aces | 3 | 5.3 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 5.3 |
| 1st serve % | 65.5% | 68.8% |
| Break % | 31.8% | 43.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matteo Fondriest
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06 | Ben Stecker M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
1-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 02/06 | Alexander Weis M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 27/04 | Aditya Vishal Balsekar Challenger Abidjan · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 21/04 | Matt Kuhar Challenger Abidjan · Hard |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 19/04 | Jean Paul Kadangah Kili Challenger Abidjan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/04 | Loann Massard M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 13/04 | Nick Beamish M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/03 | Volodymyr Iakubenko M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 03/03 | Sebastiano Cocola M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-12 | L |
| 18/02 | Daniel Masur M25 Trento · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Dennis Andre Dutine
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | Louis Herman M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/06 | Yoav Versloot M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/06 | Piet Steveker M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-10 | L |
| 23/11 | Valentino De Pellegrin UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 21/11 | Eliot Nobel UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/11 | Egor Gorin UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/11 | August Brostroem Poulsen UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/11 | Ian Bracks UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Daniel Siniakov ITF M25 Wetzlar · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Henri Squire ITF M25 Kramsach · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matteo Fondriest vs Dennis Andre Dutine?
Our model gives 60% to Matteo Fondriest, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.