Tennis · M25 Kassel · 07/07, 10:00

Prediction: Justin Schlageter vs Felix Einig

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Justin Schlageter; the market gives 81% to Justin Schlageter (odds 1.14).

Over their last 10 matches, Justin Schlageter sits at 6-4 (W-L), while Felix Einig arrives on a 4-6 run.

69%1
69% 31%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Justin Schlageter 1504 · Felix Einig 1480
Justin SchlageterFelix Einig
Our model53%47%
Market81%19%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Head-to-head: Justin Schlageter 1–0 Felix Einig (1).

Statistics

Justin SchlageterFelix Einig
Win %50%40%
Win % · Clay 56% (9) 40% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.11-1.3
Games (G-P)12-11.410.4-10
Aces5.63.5
Double faults3.12.8
1st serve %74%71.8%
Break %51.6%52%
Estimated total games (ours) 22

H2H · Justin Schlageter 10 Felix Einig (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Justin Schlageter 10 Felix Einig

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DateSetsGamesRes.
16/10/24
ITF M15 Offenbach
2-012-5W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Justin Schlageter

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/07 Jonathan Mridha
M25 Marburg · ~Clay
1-2 13-14 L
01/07 Matteo Covato
M25 Marburg · ~Clay
2-0 11-5 W
18/06 Noah Karma
M25 Klosters · ~Clay
0-2 10-13 L
17/06 Patrick Zahraj
M25 Klosters · ~Clay
2-1 18-17 W
02/06 Vincent Marysko
M15 Rosbach · ~Clay
1-2 15-17 L
29/05 Viktor Durasovic
M25 Troisdorf · ~Clay
0-2 12-14 L
28/05 Adrian Oetzbach
M25 Troisdorf · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
27/05 Alec Deckers
M25 Troisdorf · ~Clay
2-0 13-10 W
25/05 Sammy Guinau
M25 Troisdorf · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
25/11 Andrej Nedic
M25 Antalya · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L

Felix Einig

LLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/06 Tim Hammes
M25 Marburg · ~Clay
1-2 12-12 L
17/06 Richard Antoni
M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay
2-1 16-13 W
15/06 Kaspar Mathes
M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay
2-0 13-6 W
08/06 Patrik Homola
M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay
1-2 12-12 L
19/05 Tim Hammes
UTR Pro Ahaus · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
05/04 Marcus Walters
UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet
0-2 9-13 L
04/04 Sean Hodkin
UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet
2-0 12-4 W
03/04 Nicola Ion
UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet
0-2 5-12 L
31/03 Norbert Marosik
UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet
2-0 12-3 W
30/03 Lewie Lane
UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet
0-2 5-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Justin Schlageter vs Felix Einig?

Our model gives 69% to Justin Schlageter, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.