Tennis · M25 Kassel · 07/07, 10:00
Prediction: Isac Stroemberg vs Ruben Hartig
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Isac Stroemberg; the market gives 54% to Isac Stroemberg (odds 1.73).
Over their last 10 matches, Isac Stroemberg sits at 3-7 (W-L), while Ruben Hartig arrives on a 6-4 run.
53%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Isac Stroemberg 1514 · Ruben Hartig 1502
| Isac Stroemberg | Ruben Hartig | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Isac Stroemberg makes many double faults (5.9/match).
Statistics
| Isac Stroemberg | Ruben Hartig | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-10.6 | 9.8-10.4 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 5.9 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 62.3% | 66.3% |
| Break % | 54.2% | 43.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Isac Stroemberg
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/06 | Jan Sebesta M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Yannick Castelnuovo M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-1 | 9-9 | W |
| 10/06 | Raphael Vaksmann M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/06 | Cameron Price M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/12 | Vlado Jankanj UTR Pro Oxford · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/12 | Kai Milburn UTR Pro Oxford · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/12 | Matthieu Chambonniere UTR Pro Oxford · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/12 | James Quattro UTR Pro Oxford · Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 30/11 | Jon Gamble UTR Pro Oxford · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 21/08 | Andreja Petrovic ITF M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
Ruben Hartig
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Linus Lagerbohm M15 Kamen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/06 | Karim Al-Amin M15 Kamen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/06 | Radu David Turcanu M15 Constanta · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-17 | L |
| 17/06 | Iulius Maximus Stoica M15 Constanta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 16/06 | Nicolas Rafael Goldberg Alviani M15 Constanta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/05 | Mihai Alexandru Coman M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-17 | L |
| 19/05 | Uladzimir Ignatik M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
1-1 | 11-12 | L |
| 29/04 | John Sperle M15 Oegstgeest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/12 | Oscar Brown M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 03/09 | Tim Loosen ITF M25 Meerbusch · Clay |
0-2 | 9-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Isac Stroemberg vs Ruben Hartig?
Our model gives 53% to Isac Stroemberg, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.