Tennis · M25 Kassel · 08/07, 10:00
Prediction: Aryan Shah vs Anton Matusevich
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Anton Matusevich; the market gives 72% to Anton Matusevich (odds 1.30).
Over their last 10 matches, Aryan Shah sits at 6-4 (W-L), while Anton Matusevich arrives on a 5-5 run.
63%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aryan Shah 1480 · Anton Matusevich 1489
| Aryan Shah | Anton Matusevich | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Aryan Shah makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Aryan Shah | Anton Matusevich | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-11.5 | 11.1-12.2 |
| Aces | 3.5 | 4.2 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 68.4% | 69.9% |
| Break % | 40.3% | 40.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aryan Shah
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Filip Jeff Planinsek M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Dominik Recek M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/03 | Rodrigo Alujas Challenger Morelos · Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 03/02 | Ben Jones Challenger Cleveland · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 14/01 | Luca Pow M25 Winston-Salem · ~Hard |
1-2 | 7-16 | L |
| 06/01 | Beibit Zhukayev Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/12 | Digvijay Pratap Singh ITF M15 Gwalior |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 05/12 | Abhinav Sanjeev Shanmugam ITF M15 Gwalior |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/12 | Jim Hendrikx ITF M15 Gwalior |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/11 | Karan Singh Challenger Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Anton Matusevich
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Calvin Hemery Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Rei Sakamoto Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 15/06 | Arthur Gea Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Soonwoo Kwon Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/06 | Guy Den Ouden Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 07/06 | Mark Lajal Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 31/05 | Elias Ymer Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/05 | Hynek Barton Challenger Istanbul · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/05 | Kaan Isik Kosaner Challenger Istanbul · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/05 | Ergi Kirkin Challenger Istanbul · Clay |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aryan Shah vs Anton Matusevich?
Our model gives 63% to Anton Matusevich, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.