Tennis · M25 Kassel · 08/07, 10:00
Prediction: Michael Agwi vs Sydney Zick
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 62% to Sydney Zick; the market gives 50% to Sydney Zick (odds 1.83).
On recent form, Michael Agwi is 3-7 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Sydney Zick 4-6 over theirs.
55%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Michael Agwi 1412 · Sydney Zick 1498
| Michael Agwi | Sydney Zick | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sydney Zick (rating 1412 vs 1498).
- Sydney Zick is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Michael Agwi makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Michael Agwi | Sydney Zick | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.6 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.5-11.5 | 11.1-11.6 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 5.1 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 63.2% | 66.3% |
| Break % | 25.9% | 50.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Michael Agwi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Jannik Soetebier M15 Kamen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 24/03 | Sebastian Sorger M25 Saint Dizier · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/03 | Antoine Ghibaudo M25 Toulouse |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 17/03 | Richard Antoni M25 Toulouse |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/03 | Loann Massard M25 Creteil · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/02 | Vincent Reisach M15 Oberhaching · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/02 | Taym Alazmeh Davis Cup |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/02 | Hazem Naw Davis Cup |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/11 | Charles Broom ITF M25 Hradec Kralove |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/11 | Patrik Homola ITF M25 Hradec Kralove |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Sydney Zick
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Pietro Marino M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Mac Visser M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/06 | Julien Penzlin M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 24/06 | Dax Donders M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 18/06 | Johan Oscar Lien M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Amaury Raynel M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 28/05 | Matteo Martineau M25 Troisdorf · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 27/05 | Yannic Nittmann M25 Troisdorf · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/05 | Mariano Dedura-Palomero M25 Troisdorf · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 19/05 | Adrian Oetzbach M15 Klagenfurt · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Michael Agwi vs Sydney Zick?
Our model gives 55% to Sydney Zick, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.