Tennis · M25 Kassel · 08/07, 10:00
Prediction: Tom Sickenberger vs Giorgio Tabacco
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 60% to Giorgio Tabacco; the market gives 83% to Giorgio Tabacco (odds 1.13).
Over their last 10 matches, Tom Sickenberger sits at 3-7 (W-L), while Giorgio Tabacco arrives on a 6-4 run.
73%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tom Sickenberger 1466 · Giorgio Tabacco 1536
| Tom Sickenberger | Giorgio Tabacco | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 17% | 83% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Giorgio Tabacco (rating 1466 vs 1536).
- Note: Tom Sickenberger makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Tom Sickenberger | Giorgio Tabacco | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.1-10.4 | 11-11.3 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 5 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 61.7% | 64.4% |
| Break % | 57.3% | 36.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tom Sickenberger
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Oliver Majdandzic M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Alec Beckley M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 24/06 | Taym Alazmeh M15 Kamen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Hanu Patel M15 Kamen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/06 | Marc Majdandzic M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Marcel Volz M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/06 | Michel Hopp M15 Rosbach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Maties Torres Ramis M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Eero Vasa M15 Oegstgeest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 27/04 | Noah Thurner M15 Oegstgeest · ~Clay |
2-1 | 10-10 | W |
Giorgio Tabacco
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Federico Arnaboldi M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Flynn Thomas M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/06 | Gianmarco Ferrari M25 Milano · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 17/06 | Marcello Serafini M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/06 | Raffaele Ciurnelli M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 10/06 | Jacopo Bilardo M15 Messina · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-19 | L |
| 09/06 | Giannicola Misasi M15 Messina · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/06 | Massimo Giunta M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Jay Clarke M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 02/06 | Petros Tsitsipas M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tom Sickenberger vs Giorgio Tabacco?
Our model gives 73% to Giorgio Tabacco, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.