Tennis · M25 Kassel · 08/07, 10:00
Prediction: Daniel Siniakov vs Calvin Mueller
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 56% to Daniel Siniakov; the market gives 79% to Daniel Siniakov (odds 1.17).
On recent form, Daniel Siniakov is 7-3 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Calvin Mueller 2-8 over theirs.
69%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniel Siniakov 1527 · Calvin Mueller 1488
| Daniel Siniakov | Calvin Mueller | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Daniel Siniakov makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Daniel Siniakov | Calvin Mueller | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-10.6 | 10.2-11.3 |
| Aces | 5 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 5.8 | 0.6 |
| 1st serve % | 72.2% | 59.3% |
| Break % | 45.3% | 39.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniel Siniakov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Max Wiskandt M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/07 | Michel Hopp M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/07 | Saba Purtseladze M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 02/07 | Leonardo Rossi M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Oleksii Krutykh M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 15/06 | Florian Broska Challenger Poznan · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 15/06 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 11/06 | Denis Petak M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Tim Handel M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/05 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Calvin Mueller
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Saba Purtseladze M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Imanol Lopez Morillo M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/06 | Johan Oscar Lien M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 05/06 | Dylan Dietrich M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-11 | L |
| 04/06 | Gregor Hausberger M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 04/06 | Gabriele Maria Noce M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 30/05 | Tito Chavez M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/05 | Giuseppe La Vela M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 28/05 | Maximilian Figl M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 21/05 | Khumoyun Sultanov M15 Klagenfurt · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniel Siniakov vs Calvin Mueller?
Our model gives 69% to Daniel Siniakov, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.