Tennis · M15 Hillcrest · 06/07, 12:30
Prediction: Filippo Francesco Garbero vs Giovanni Ciocca
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 50% to Filippo Francesco Garbero; the market gives 59% to Filippo Francesco Garbero (odds 1.57).
Over their last 10 matches, Filippo Francesco Garbero sits at 5-5 (W-L), while Giovanni Ciocca arrives on a 7-3 run.
55%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Filippo Francesco Garbero 1510 · Giovanni Ciocca 1509
| Filippo Francesco Garbero | Giovanni Ciocca | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Filippo Francesco Garbero | Giovanni Ciocca | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-8.4 | 10.8-8.9 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 63.3% | 66.1% |
| Break % | 50.6% | 49.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Filippo Francesco Garbero
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Marc Van Der Merwe M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 29/06 | Vasilios Caripi M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/06 | Roger Pascual Ferra M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Maksim Tikhomirov M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 19/05 | Zachary Sands M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/05 | Ali Habib M25 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/05 | Omar Farahat M25 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/05 | Danila Folkheims M25 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/05 | Leonardo Rossi M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/05 | Karim Ibrahim M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 10-7 | W |
Giovanni Ciocca
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/05 | Udit Kamboj M15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 11/05 | James Hart M15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/05 | Tom Zeuch M15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
| 06/05 | Stefan Storch M15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 04/05 | Patrick Jozwicki M15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/05 | Stefan Cooper M15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-11 | L |
| 30/04 | Simphiwe Ngwenya M15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/04 | Stefan Storch M15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-8 | W |
| 23/04 | Stefan Vujic M15 Pretoria · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/04 | Makar Elesin M15 Pretoria · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Filippo Francesco Garbero vs Giovanni Ciocca?
Our model gives 55% to Filippo Francesco Garbero, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.