Prediction: Francesca Curmi vs Oceane Dodin
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 69% to Francesca Curmi; the market gives 66% to Francesca Curmi (odds 1.40).
Over their last 10 matches, Francesca Curmi sits at 8-2 (W-L), while Oceane Dodin arrives on a 5-5 run.
| Francesca Curmi | Oceane Dodin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 31% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Francesca Curmi (rating 1604 vs 1464).
- Oceane Dodin dominates on serve: 9.4 aces and 40% break avg.
- Francesca Curmi is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Francesca Curmi 1–0 Oceane Dodin (1).
- Note: Oceane Dodin makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Francesca Curmi | Oceane Dodin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (10) | 29% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.5 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-8.4 | 8.7-12.1 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 9.4 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 58.5% | 63.5% |
| Break % | 48.8% | 40% |
H2H · Francesca Curmi 1 – 0 Oceane Dodin (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Francesca Curmi 1–0 Oceane Dodin
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/11/22 ITF W80 Madrid | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francesca Curmi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Alevtina Ibragimova W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/06 | Ipek Oz W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 18/06 | Jenny Lim W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 17/06 | Lola Radivojevic W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/06 | Astrid Lew Yan Foon W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/06 | Elena Ruxandra Bertea W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 11/06 | Isabella Shinikova W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/06 | Sofya Lansere W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
1-0 | 7-6 | W |
| 24/05 | Julie Struplova W50 Portoroz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/05 | Carlota Martinez Cirez W50 Portoroz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Oceane Dodin
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Astrid Lew Yan Foon W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Amy Stevens W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 25/06 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 24/06 | Lulu Sun Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 23/06 | Laura Pigossi Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/05 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Kayla Day French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 04/05 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/04 | Katie Volynets WTA Madrid · Clay |
1-2 | 7-16 | L |
| 12/04 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich WTA Stuttgart · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francesca Curmi vs Oceane Dodin?
Our model gives 68% to Francesca Curmi, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.