Tennis · WTA Contrexeville · 10/07, 11:00
Prediction: Anna Blinkova vs Aurora Zantedeschi
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 55% to Aurora Zantedeschi; the market gives 73% to Anna Blinkova (odds 1.28).
Recent form leaves Anna Blinkova with 7 wins and 3 losses over 10 games; Aurora Zantedeschi has piled up 8-2 in the same span.
60%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Anna Blinkova 1542 · Aurora Zantedeschi 1579
| Anna Blinkova | Aurora Zantedeschi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Anna Blinkova makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Anna Blinkova | Aurora Zantedeschi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (2) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-11.9 | 11.5-8.3 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 59.1% | 68.1% |
| Break % | 50.1% | 55.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Anna Blinkova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Maria Lourdes Carle WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/07 | Erika Andreeva WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 02/07 | Marta Kostyuk Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 30/06 | Yulia Starodubtsewa Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 21/06 | Solana Sierra WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 20/06 | Julia Avdeeva WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/06 | Taylah Preston WTA Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 14/06 | Anna Bondar WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 13/06 | Daria Kasatkina WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/06 | Emma Raducanu WTA Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Aurora Zantedeschi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Elsa Jacquemot WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/07 | Alina Granwehr W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/07 | Madison Sieg W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/07 | Astrid Lew Yan Foon W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/07 | Isabella Maria Serban W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 30/06 | Meline Lataste W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/06 | Nadia Podoroska W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 12/06 | Alessandra Mazzola W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 11/06 | Sofia Rocchetti W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/06 | Carolina Troiano W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Anna Blinkova vs Aurora Zantedeschi?
Our model gives 60% to Anna Blinkova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.