Tennis · W15 Getxo · 05/07, 10:00
Prediction: Lisa Claeys vs Neus Torner Sensano
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Neus Torner Sensano; the market gives 79% to Neus Torner Sensano (odds 1.17).
Recent form leaves Lisa Claeys with 7 wins and 3 losses over 10 games; Neus Torner Sensano has piled up 7-3 in the same span.
68%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lisa Claeys 1557 · Neus Torner Sensano 1583
| Lisa Claeys | Neus Torner Sensano | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Lisa Claeys makes many double faults (4.4/match).
- Note: Neus Torner Sensano makes many double faults (5.5/match).
Statistics
| Lisa Claeys | Neus Torner Sensano | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 86% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-9.9 | 12.1-9.3 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 5.5 |
| 1st serve % | 60.6% | 63.4% |
| Break % | 42.9% | 49.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lisa Claeys
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Shannon Lam W15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/07 | Cayetana Gay W15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Jessica Bertoldo W15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/06 | Fabienne Gettwart W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/06 | Marie Vogt W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 19/06 | Tilwith Di Girolami W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 18/06 | Milena Ciocan W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 16/06 | Delia Gaillard W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/05 | Irina Balus W15 Szentendre · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Norina Bak Szabo W15 Szentendre · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Neus Torner Sensano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Amelie Van Impe W15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 03/07 | Ruth Roura Llaverias W15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Eva Alvarez Sande W15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/07 | Claudia Ferrer Perez W15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/06 | Carmen Gallardo Guevara W15 Madrid |
0-2 | 0-11 | L |
| 11/06 | Juliana Giaccio W15 Madrid |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/06 | Yleymi Lugiana Muelle Valdez W15 Madrid |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 07/06 | Carmen Gallardo Guevara W15 Ontinyent · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 06/06 | Maria Garcia Cid W15 Ontinyent · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-17 | W |
| 05/06 | Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez W15 Ontinyent · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lisa Claeys vs Neus Torner Sensano?
Our model gives 68% to Neus Torner Sensano, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.