Tennis · W15 Getxo · 03/07, 13:00

Prediction: Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen vs Shannon Lam

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 58% to Shannon Lam; the market gives 73% to Shannon Lam (odds 1.28).

Recent form leaves Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen with 5 wins and 5 losses over 10 games; Shannon Lam has piled up 8-2 in the same span.

66%2
34% 66%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen 1510 · Shannon Lam 1567
Astrid Wanja Brune OlsenShannon Lam
Our model42%58%
Market27%73%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shannon Lam (rating 1510 vs 1567).

Statistics

Astrid Wanja Brune OlsenShannon Lam
Win %50%70%
Win % · Clay 50% (10) 75% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.21.6-0.7
Games (G-P)10.7-10.611.6-7.5
Aces0.90.2
Double faults1.83.6
1st serve %58.3%65.6%
Break %51.1%57.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/07 Raquel Caballero Chica
W15 Getxo · ~Clay
2-1 16-14 W
01/07 Ania Hertel
W15 Getxo · ~Clay
2-0 13-7 W
25/06 Allegra Korpanec Davies
W15 Galati · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
23/06 Simona Cucu
W15 Galati · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
18/06 Daria Yesypchuk
W15 Bucharest · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
17/06 Anna Jelinkova
W15 Bucharest · ~Clay
2-0 11-1 W
04/06 Maria Garcia Cid
W15 Ontinyent · ~Clay
1-2 12-17 L
03/06 Silvia Caliman
W15 Ontinyent · ~Clay
2-1 13-7 W
27/05 Margaux Maquet
W15 Oliva · ~Clay
1-2 9-17 L
13/05 Simona Ogescu
W15 Bucharest · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L

Shannon Lam

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/07 Kaat Coppez
W15 Getxo · ~Clay
2-1 15-10 W
30/06 Maria De La Paz Alberto
W15 Getxo · ~Clay
2-0 12-0 W
05/06 Carmen Gallardo Guevara
W15 Ontinyent · ~Clay
1-2 12-15 L
04/06 Elyse Tse
W15 Ontinyent · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
02/06 Yleymi Lugiana Muelle Valdez
W15 Ontinyent · ~Clay
2-0 11-7 W
28/05 Jenny Lim
W15 Oliva · ~Clay
1-2 14-15 L
27/05 Camila Rodero
W15 Oliva · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
26/05 Milena Ciocan
W15 Oliva · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
20/05 Jenny Lim
W35 Estepona · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
16/05 Anastasiia Firman
W15 Monzon · ~Hard
2-0 11-8 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen vs Shannon Lam?

Our model gives 66% to Shannon Lam, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.