Tennis · W15 Getxo · 04/07, 10:00
Prediction: Lisa Claeys vs Shannon Lam
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 56% to Shannon Lam; the market gives 72% to Shannon Lam (odds 1.30).
Over their last 10 matches, Lisa Claeys sits at 6-4 (W-L), while Shannon Lam arrives on a 8-2 run.
65%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lisa Claeys 1531 · Shannon Lam 1576
| Lisa Claeys | Shannon Lam | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shannon Lam (rating 1531 vs 1576).
- Note: Lisa Claeys makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Lisa Claeys | Shannon Lam | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-10.3 | 12-7.6 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 58.9% | 67.2% |
| Break % | 41.6% | 63.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lisa Claeys
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Cayetana Gay W15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Jessica Bertoldo W15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/06 | Fabienne Gettwart W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/06 | Marie Vogt W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 19/06 | Tilwith Di Girolami W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 18/06 | Milena Ciocan W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 16/06 | Delia Gaillard W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/05 | Irina Balus W15 Szentendre · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Norina Bak Szabo W15 Szentendre · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/05 | Anna Brunet-Brady W15 Reichstett · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Shannon Lam
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen W15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 02/07 | Kaat Coppez W15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 30/06 | Maria De La Paz Alberto W15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 05/06 | Carmen Gallardo Guevara W15 Ontinyent · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 04/06 | Elyse Tse W15 Ontinyent · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/06 | Yleymi Lugiana Muelle Valdez W15 Ontinyent · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-7 | W |
| 28/05 | Jenny Lim W15 Oliva · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 27/05 | Camila Rodero W15 Oliva · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/05 | Milena Ciocan W15 Oliva · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/05 | Jenny Lim W35 Estepona · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lisa Claeys vs Shannon Lam?
Our model gives 65% to Shannon Lam, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.