Tennis · W15 Kayseri · 05/07, 09:00
Prediction: Duru Soke vs Melisa Ercan
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 59% to Duru Soke; the market gives 56% to Duru Soke (odds 1.67).
Over their last 10 matches, Duru Soke sits at 10-0 (W-L), while Melisa Ercan arrives on a 6-4 run.
57%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Duru Soke 1653 · Melisa Ercan 1589
| Duru Soke | Melisa Ercan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Duru Soke (rating 1653 vs 1589).
Statistics
| Duru Soke | Melisa Ercan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 100% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 2-0 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-4.6 | 10.8-8.9 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 0.5 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 66.7% | 57.8% |
| Break % | 60.2% | 49.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Duru Soke
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Mandegar Farzami W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/07 | Lan Mi W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Selina Atay W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Alexia Lavinia Puiac W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 28/06 | Alana Subasic W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/06 | Jana Hossam Salah W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/06 | Lan Mi W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 25/06 | Selina Atay W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Hana Shabanpour W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/06 | Katja Wiersholm W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Melisa Ercan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Irem Kurt W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/07 | Amelie Smejkalova W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 01/07 | Nikoletta Muller W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Eva Panova W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/11 | Sofia Shapatava W35 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 27/11 | Denislava Glushkova W35 Antalya · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 25/11 | Maria Shmeleva W35 Antalya · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/11 | Britt Du Pree ITF W35 Faro · Hard |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 06/11 | Haruka Kaji ITF W35 Faro · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/11 | Charlotte Van Zonneveld ITF W35 Faro · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Duru Soke vs Melisa Ercan?
Our model gives 57% to Duru Soke, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.