Tennis · W15 Kayseri · 03/07, 09:00

Prediction: Ilay Yoruk vs Irem Kurt

Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Ilay Yoruk; the market gives 50% to Ilay Yoruk (odds 1.83).

Over their last 10 matches, Ilay Yoruk sits at 7-3 (W-L), while Irem Kurt arrives on a 8-2 run.

51%1
51% 49%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ilay Yoruk 1583 · Irem Kurt 1565
Ilay YorukIrem Kurt
Our model53%47%
Market50%50%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Ilay Yoruk makes many double faults (8.3/match).

Statistics

Ilay YorukIrem Kurt
Win %80%70%
Win % · Hard 80% (10) 70% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.8-0.71.6-0.7
Games (G-P)13.2-8.111.5-9.1
Aces1.11.1
Double faults8.32.3
1st serve %70.2%63.8%
Break %56.4%52%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ilay Yoruk

WLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/07 Alisa Vasileva
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-1 15-10 W
01/07 Hana Shabanpour
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
24/06 Lan Mi
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
1-2 10-12 L
19/06 Julia Adams
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
1-2 16-19 L
18/06 Berrak Kocak
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
16/06 Jannat Chiripal
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 12-1 W
14/06 Lan Mi
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
13/06 Julia Adams
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-1 16-12 W
12/06 Ksenia Laskutova
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-1 15-12 W
11/06 Defne Aydemir
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W

Irem Kurt

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/07 Allison Isaacs
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 11-8 W
01/07 Julia Khramtsova
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
26/06 Jana Hossam Salah
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
1-2 12-17 L
25/06 Prathyusha Rachapudi
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
24/06 Sophia Ksandinov
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
05/06 Deniz Dilek
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
1-2 10-16 L
04/06 Duru Soke
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
03/06 Selina Atay
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
30/05 Deniz Dilek
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
30/05 Ksenia Smirnova
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-1 17-12 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ilay Yoruk vs Irem Kurt?

Our model gives 51% to Ilay Yoruk, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.