Tennis · W15 Kayseri · 04/07, 10:30
Prediction: Melisa Ercan vs Irem Kurt
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Melisa Ercan; the market gives 65% to Melisa Ercan (odds 1.44).
On recent form, Melisa Ercan is 6-4 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Irem Kurt 9-1 over theirs.
59%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Melisa Ercan 1585 · Irem Kurt 1571
| Melisa Ercan | Irem Kurt | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Melisa Ercan | Irem Kurt | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-8.6 | 11.5-8.9 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 59.9% | 65.4% |
| Break % | 52% | 51.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Melisa Ercan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Amelie Smejkalova W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 01/07 | Nikoletta Muller W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Eva Panova W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/11 | Sofia Shapatava W35 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 27/11 | Denislava Glushkova W35 Antalya · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 25/11 | Maria Shmeleva W35 Antalya · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/11 | Britt Du Pree ITF W35 Faro · Hard |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 06/11 | Haruka Kaji ITF W35 Faro · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/11 | Charlotte Van Zonneveld ITF W35 Faro · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/11 | Baylen Brown ITF W35 Faro · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Irem Kurt
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Ilay Yoruk W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 02/07 | Allison Isaacs W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Julia Khramtsova W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/06 | Jana Hossam Salah W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 25/06 | Prathyusha Rachapudi W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/06 | Sophia Ksandinov W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/06 | Deniz Dilek W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 04/06 | Duru Soke W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/06 | Selina Atay W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/05 | Deniz Dilek W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Melisa Ercan vs Irem Kurt?
Our model gives 59% to Melisa Ercan, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.