Tennis · Wimbledon MD · 06/07, 12:00
Prediction: Ho/Jebens vs Andreozzi/Guinard
Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 57% to Andreozzi/Guinard; the market gives 69% to Andreozzi/Guinard (odds 1.36).
Over their last 10 matches, Ho/Jebens sits at 4-6 (W-L), while Andreozzi/Guinard arrives on a 5-5 run.
64%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ho/Jebens 1497 · Andreozzi/Guinard 1548
| Ho/Jebens | Andreozzi/Guinard | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Andreozzi/Guinard (rating 1497 vs 1548).
Statistics
| Ho/Jebens | Andreozzi/Guinard | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Grass | 67% (3) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.6-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-13.5 | 16.1-14.7 |
| Aces | 5.8 | 5 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 78.9% | 77.1% |
| Break % | 23.2% | 31.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
26.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ho/Jebens
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Arribage/Olivetti Wimbledon MD · Grass |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 02/07 | Frantzen/Haase Wimbledon MD · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/06 | Jones/Paris Challenger Birmingham MD · Grass |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 29/05 | Nys/Roger-Vasselin French Open MD · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Buse/Kiger French Open MD · Clay |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 13/05 | Reyes-Varela/Willis Challenger Bordeaux MD · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/05 | Kittay/Seggerman Challenger Francavilla MD · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 02/05 | Kirkov/Stevens Challenger Aix en Provence MD · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/05 | Schnaitter/Wallner Challenger Aix en Provence MD · Clay |
2-1 | 20-20 | W |
| 30/04 | Herbert/Hijikata Challenger Aix en Provence MD · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Andreozzi/Guinard
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Romboli/Smith Wimbledon MD · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 02/07 | Carreno Busta/Munar Wimbledon MD · Grass |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 26/06 | Nys/Roger-Vasselin ATP Eastbourne MD · Grass |
1-2 | 9-11 | L |
| 26/06 | Nys/Roger-Vasselin ATP Eastbourne MD · Grass |
1-2 | 17-20 | L |
| 25/06 | Harrison/Skupski ATP Eastbourne MD · Grass |
2-1 | 24-21 | W |
| 24/06 | Bhambri/Venus ATP Eastbourne MD · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 22/06 | Ho/Oberleitner ATP Eastbourne MD · Grass |
2-1 | 23-21 | W |
| 17/06 | Heliovaara/Patten ATP Queens MD · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Cash/Glasspool ATP Hamburg MD · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 21/05 | Atmane/Etcheverry ATP Hamburg MD · Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ho/Jebens vs Andreozzi/Guinard?
Our model gives 64% to Andreozzi/Guinard, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.