Prediction: Khololwam Montsi vs Devin Badenhorst
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Khololwam Montsi; the market gives 54% to Devin Badenhorst (odds 1.73).
Recent form leaves Khololwam Montsi with 7 wins and 3 losses over 10 games; Devin Badenhorst has piled up 8-2 in the same span.
| Khololwam Montsi | Devin Badenhorst | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Devin Badenhorst dominates on serve: 6.8 aces and 57.8% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Khololwam Montsi 1–0 Devin Badenhorst (1).
- Note: Devin Badenhorst makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Khololwam Montsi | Devin Badenhorst | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 78% (9) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.5-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-9 | 11.4-8.8 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 6.8 |
| Double faults | 0.6 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 66% | 74.4% |
| Break % | 60.8% | 57.8% |
H2H · Khololwam Montsi 1 – 0 Devin Badenhorst (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Khololwam Montsi 1–0 Devin Badenhorst
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06/24 ITF M25 Hillcrest | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Khololwam Montsi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Henry Jefferson M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 03/07 | Kris Van Wyk M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/07 | James Beaven M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/06 | Filip Peliwo M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/06 | Alexander Donski Challenger Centurion · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 05/06 | Arda Azkara Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/06 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/06 | Calvin Hemery Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 26/05 | Calvin Hemery Challenger Centurion · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 12/11 | Mehdi Benchakroun M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Devin Badenhorst
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Ofek Shimanov M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 03/07 | Alec Deckers M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Preston Brown M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/06 | Andreas Timini M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/06 | Eliakim Coulibaly Challenger Centurion · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 02/06 | Oscar Weightman Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/05 | Giles Hussey Challenger Centurion · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 26/05 | Akira Santillan Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/09 | Louis Bowden UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/09 | William Freshwater UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Khololwam Montsi vs Devin Badenhorst?
Our model gives 51% to Devin Badenhorst, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.