Tennis · M15 Hillcrest · 04/07, 10:00
Prediction: Ofek Shimanov vs Devin Badenhorst
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 57% to Devin Badenhorst; the market gives 79% to Devin Badenhorst (odds 1.17).
On recent form, Ofek Shimanov is 5-5 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Devin Badenhorst 8-2 over theirs.
69%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ofek Shimanov 1519 · Devin Badenhorst 1565
| Ofek Shimanov | Devin Badenhorst | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Devin Badenhorst (rating 1519 vs 1565).
- Devin Badenhorst dominates on serve: 6.2 aces and 62% break avg.
Statistics
| Ofek Shimanov | Devin Badenhorst | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.5-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-11.7 | 11.2-8 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 6.2 |
| Double faults | 0.9 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 64.3% | 75% |
| Break % | 43% | 62% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ofek Shimanov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Orel Kimhi M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 02/07 | Marc Van Der Merwe M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Chirag Duhan M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/05 | Guillaume Dalmasso Challenger Centurion Qual · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 25/05 | Preston Brown Challenger Centurion · Hard |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
| 24/05 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/03 | Stefano Travaglia Challenger Phoenix · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/02 | Vilius Gaubas Davis Cup |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/11 | Florian Broska M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/11 | Giulio Perego M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
Devin Badenhorst
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Alec Deckers M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Preston Brown M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/06 | Andreas Timini M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/06 | Eliakim Coulibaly Challenger Centurion · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 02/06 | Oscar Weightman Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/05 | Giles Hussey Challenger Centurion · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 26/05 | Akira Santillan Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/09 | Louis Bowden UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/09 | William Freshwater UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/09 | Camilo Cano Gomez UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ofek Shimanov vs Devin Badenhorst?
Our model gives 69% to Devin Badenhorst, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.