Tennis · M15 Hillcrest · 04/07, 10:00
Prediction: Khololwam Montsi vs Henry Jefferson
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Henry Jefferson; the market gives 75% to Khololwam Montsi (odds 1.25).
Recent form leaves Khololwam Montsi with 6 wins and 4 losses over 10 games; Henry Jefferson has piled up 6-4 in the same span.
63%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Khololwam Montsi 1551 · Henry Jefferson 1568
| Khololwam Montsi | Henry Jefferson | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Henry Jefferson dominates on serve: 6.8 aces and 61.3% break avg.
- Note: Henry Jefferson makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Khololwam Montsi | Henry Jefferson | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-9 | 12.1-9.7 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 6.8 |
| Double faults | 0.6 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 63.4% | 77.4% |
| Break % | 56.8% | 61.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Khololwam Montsi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Kris Van Wyk M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/07 | James Beaven M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/06 | Filip Peliwo M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/06 | Alexander Donski Challenger Centurion · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 05/06 | Arda Azkara Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/06 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/06 | Calvin Hemery Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 26/05 | Calvin Hemery Challenger Centurion · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 12/11 | Mehdi Benchakroun M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 01/11 | Ritesh Patil UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Henry Jefferson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Rocco Piatti M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Ty Host M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 01/07 | Zsombor Velcz M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Jordan Hasson M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-8 | W |
| 13/06 | Alastair Gray Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Timofei Derepasko M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 09/12 | Robert Guna M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-1 | 10-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Luis Felipe Miguel UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/09 | Agassi Rusher UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/09 | Oren Ezerzer UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Khololwam Montsi vs Henry Jefferson?
Our model gives 63% to Khololwam Montsi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.