Tennis · Wimbledon MD · 04/07, 12:00
Prediction: Romboli/Smith vs Andreozzi/Guinard
Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 56% to Andreozzi/Guinard; the market gives 65% to Andreozzi/Guinard (odds 1.44).
Recent form leaves Romboli/Smith with 3 wins and 7 losses over 10 games; Andreozzi/Guinard has piled up 4-6 in the same span.
61%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Romboli/Smith 1485 · Andreozzi/Guinard 1527
| Romboli/Smith | Andreozzi/Guinard | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Andreozzi/Guinard (rating 1485 vs 1527).
Statistics
| Romboli/Smith | Andreozzi/Guinard | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 50% (4) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.5 | 1.5-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-14.5 | 16.4-15.6 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 5 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 74.1% | 76.9% |
| Break % | 22% | 37.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
27.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Romboli/Smith
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Drzewiecki/Majchrzak Wimbledon MD · Grass |
2-1 | 19-19 | W |
| 11/06 | Kirkov/Miedler ATP Stuttgart MD · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Luz/Matos ATP Stuttgart MD · Grass |
2-1 | 20-17 | W |
| 03/06 | Hidalgo/Trhac Challenger Birmingham MD · Grass |
1-2 | 17-20 | L |
| 27/05 | Hidalgo/Trhac French Open MD · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 05/05 | Goldhoff/Ingildsen Challenger Francavilla MD · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/04 | Gille/Verbeek Challenger Cagliari MD · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/04 | Pavlasek/Rikl ATP Barcelona MD · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/03 | Hidalgo/Trhac Challenger Phoenix MD · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/03 | Arribage/Olivetti Challenger Phoenix MD · Hard |
2-1 | 20-17 | W |
Andreozzi/Guinard
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Carreno Busta/Munar Wimbledon MD · Grass |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 26/06 | Nys/Roger-Vasselin ATP Eastbourne MD · Grass |
1-2 | 9-11 | L |
| 26/06 | Nys/Roger-Vasselin ATP Eastbourne MD · Grass |
1-2 | 17-20 | L |
| 25/06 | Harrison/Skupski ATP Eastbourne MD · Grass |
2-1 | 24-21 | W |
| 24/06 | Bhambri/Venus ATP Eastbourne MD · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 22/06 | Ho/Oberleitner ATP Eastbourne MD · Grass |
2-1 | 23-21 | W |
| 17/06 | Heliovaara/Patten ATP Queens MD · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Cash/Glasspool ATP Hamburg MD · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 21/05 | Atmane/Etcheverry ATP Hamburg MD · Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 02/05 | Heliovaara/Patten ATP Madrid MD · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Romboli/Smith vs Andreozzi/Guinard?
Our model gives 61% to Andreozzi/Guinard, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.