Tennis · M25 Rabat · 03/07, 15:00

Prediction: Eero Vasa vs Sean Cuenin

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 64% to Sean Cuenin; the market gives 75% to Sean Cuenin (odds 1.25).

On recent form, Eero Vasa is 5-5 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Sean Cuenin 9-1 over theirs.

70%2
30% 70%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Eero Vasa 1520 · Sean Cuenin 1617
Eero VasaSean Cuenin
Our model36%64%
Market25%75%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sean Cuenin (rating 1520 vs 1617).
  • Sean Cuenin is in better form: 90% recent wins.
  • Head-to-head: Eero Vasa 1–0 Sean Cuenin (1).

Statistics

Eero VasaSean Cuenin
Win %60%90%
Win % · Clay 60% (10) 90% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.3-1.21.8-0.2
Games (G-P)12.4-11.911.6-6.5
Aces3.61.1
Double faults3.71.4
1st serve %68%70.3%
Break %53.5%46.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.8

H2H · Eero Vasa 10 Sean Cuenin (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Eero Vasa 10 Sean Cuenin

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DateSetsGamesRes.
17/12/24
ITF M15 Doha
2-118-14W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Eero Vasa

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/07 Amine Jamji
M25 Rabat · ~Clay
2-1 14-10 W
01/07 Yassine Smiej
M25 Rabat · ~Clay
2-1 17-12 W
24/06 Ognjen Milic
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
1-2 11-14 L
23/06 Manas Manoj Dhamne
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
2-1 17-15 W
31/05 Lukas Pokorny
Challenger Prostejov · Clay
0-2 10-13 L
24/05 Giorgio Tabacco
Challenger Vicenza · Clay
0-2 11-14 L
13/05 Jaime Faria
Challenger Oeiras · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
12/05 David Jorda Sanchis
Challenger Oeiras · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
11/05 Garrett Johns
Challenger Oeiras · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
11/05 Marko Topo
Challenger Oeiras · Clay
2-1 15-15 W

Sean Cuenin

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/07 Andrea M'chich
M25 Rabat · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
01/07 Parth Aggarwal
M25 Rabat · ~Clay
2-0 12-1 W
27/06 Karim Bennani
M25 Tanger · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
26/06 Reda Bennani
M25 Tanger · ~Clay
2-0 13-7 W
25/06 Walid Ahouda
M25 Tanger · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W
24/06 Attila Dominik Boros
M25 Tanger · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
14/06 Stefano D'Agostino
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
13/06 Branko Djuric
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
12/06 Nikita Mashtakov
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 11-4 W
11/06 Niccolo Baroni
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 8-3 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Eero Vasa vs Sean Cuenin?

Our model gives 70% to Sean Cuenin, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.