Prediction: Francesco Ferrari vs Massimo Giunta
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 60% to Massimo Giunta; the market gives 86% to Massimo Giunta (odds 1.10).
Over their last 10 matches, Francesco Ferrari sits at 8-2 (W-L), while Massimo Giunta arrives on a 9-1 run.
74%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francesco Ferrari 1517 · Massimo Giunta 1591
| Francesco Ferrari | Massimo Giunta | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 14% | 86% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Massimo Giunta (rating 1517 vs 1591).
- Massimo Giunta dominates on serve: 6.2 aces and 52.8% break avg.
- Massimo Giunta is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Francesco Ferrari | Massimo Giunta | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.7-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-9.1 | 12.5-7 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 6.2 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 68.3% | 81.5% |
| Break % | 41.2% | 52.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francesco Ferrari
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Ali Missoum M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
1-0 | 6-0 | W |
| 30/06 | Alexander Chepik M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/06 | Ghali Komat M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/06 | Reda Bennani M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Caheer Warik M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-11 | L |
| 04/06 | Denis Klok M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 03/06 | Peetu Pohjola M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/06 | Andreas Messis M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/05 | Lorenzo Gagliardo M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 06/05 | Kasra Rahmani M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
Massimo Giunta
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Edouard Villoslada M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/06 | Lorenzo Rottoli M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 25/06 | Ali Missoum M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/06 | Othman Bezzaz M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/06 | Luca Potenza M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/06 | Alexandre Reco M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/06 | Giorgio Tabacco M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/06 | Matteo Sciahbasi M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/06 | Giulio Perego M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 26/05 | Mika Brunold Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francesco Ferrari vs Massimo Giunta?
Our model gives 74% to Massimo Giunta, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.